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Our hot sticky American summer—and
the “point of no return” for global warming
BY SID PRANKE
Unbearable.
Oppressive. Wretched. Miserable. Never before in my entire life
have I been so afraid to go outside to avoid weather. Blizzards,
sub-zero temperatures, lightning storms, torrential rainfall, tornado
warnings, those I can deal with, but this last bout of hot weather
seriously tested my patience and even my indoor survival skills.
Compare notes with friends and neighbors and you’ll probably
hear the same thing.
And if there are still people who think “greenhouse
gases” might be foul odors emanating only from homes painted
a deep shade of chartreuse, then the past weekend should have helped
to convince them of what scientists already know: global warming
is a given—the only question is how much and how fast it will
affect our world.
Cumulative events like record high temperatures,
along with record overnight low temps that read more like highs,
moderate-to-severe drought reports from state agencies, heat-related
deaths, and wildfires have gotten our attention.
And in the Twin Cities, we also have what is
called the “heat island” phenom—a condition where
urban and suburban temps can run up to 10 degrees hotter than surrounding
rural areas. So under the same weather conditions, you’re
going to be hotter standing on the Nicollet Mall than you would
be standing in a rural cornfield. Cities have more dark surfaces
and less vegetation than the countryside, which experts say results
in elevated temps. Smart city leaders implement designs like green
roofs, such as the one at the new Minneapolis City Library, and
work to preserve and encourage green spaces.
Human activity raises levels of greenhouse gases,
primarily carbon dioxide; those activities include the burning of
fossil fuels, the use of CFCs (chlorofluorocarbons) in refrigeration
systems, and the deforestation of lands.
A 2006 report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) in Paris
contains some real sobering news about greenhouse gases. The report
indicates that once in the atmosphere, the gases seem to linger
for decades. Concentration levels of the gases rise and trap the
world’s heat. A huge rise, even with a well-funded program
to try to stop global warming, could be unavoidable. Scientists
can guess what a 45 percent rise in accumulated gases might do to
the earth (and therefore, to us), but the future remains uncertain.
A Washington Post columnist recently opined
that the real “inconvenient truth” of global warming,
contrary to the message of Al Gore’s film, “An Inconvenient
Truth,” isn’t that global warming actually exists, but
that there’s nothing we can actually do about it. “This
was obvious nine years ago,” writes Robert J. Samuelson. “It’s
still obvious.”
Others disagree that there’s nothing we
can do to stop global warming—and that the greatest tragedy
would be not to do anything.
Some scientists say that whatever we do, we
have only about 10 years to do it—or it will be late to do
ANYTHING about global warming. It would be the quintessential point
of no return on a global scale. If this is true, global warming
represents a huge threat, much bigger than any terrorist organization
anywhere.
Case in point: A few months ago, reports ran rampant after the journal
Science stated that our oceans, fed by melting glaciers in Greenland
and Antarctica, could rise a total of 13 to 20 feet by the end of
this century, threatening the coastlines of New York, Miami, New
Orleans and Charleston, S.C.
The two-week heat wave killed 141 people in
California, according to the latest count, and July was a scorcher
for most of Europe as well. According to Associated Press reports,
a European heat wave killed 35,000 people in 2003.
Some say we should just get used to it, that killer heat waves will
become even more common.
A hundred or so years ago, there was no electricity,
no cell phones or computers, no Wi-Fi, satellites, coal-fired plants
or power grids, no refrigerators, automobiles or televisions, no
power amps, no air conditioners. Of the list above, how many would
you be willing to give up if you thought it would help stop the
polar ice caps from melting? Some? None? All?
A good portion of any plan to stop global warming
would require governmental policy changes, such as prescribed by
the Kyoto Protocol, which the United States has not ratified, unlike
most of the rest of the world. There is no good excuse for this.
Another part of the equation involves individual
commitment to changing 21st century habits, a prospect that many
want to resist.
Older hippies, younger permaculture adherents, political entities
like the Green Party, as well as Native American tenets that instill
a responsibility to protect the earth seven generations into the
future, set good examples for us all.
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